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BBP survival plan for $3.7 billion at 8.8%: does draft-deals on sale of three power stations; needs to sell fourth, to raise $41m

A quick run over the calculator showed if BBP succeeded in closing draft deals to sell Uranquinty, $159m, and Ecogen interests, (Newport and Jerralang), for $142 million; Tamar for $100m, then, it and now needed maybe $41 million, to  keep lenders happy. Kwinana and Neerabup projects were perhaps prospects for sale. In these planned deals UBS was to deal with conflicts of interest, under a new plan from the changed board under leadership of Len Gill.

(Full Article)


Gas, oil fuels, and hydros with water may prove the big earners in 2009-10 drought conditions in the NEM

Generators get dispatched in order to meet customer demand under the different drought scenarios. For example, a generator operating at 100per cent capacity factor over a certain period of time would be generating at its full rated power output for the entire period.

(Full Article)


Rising risks of drought - caused blackouts and electricity emergency orders across the NEM; with Victoria in crisis, in 2009-10

The tables summarise the annual USE (unsupplied energy - meaning ‘blackout risk”) figures for each region, and provide comparisons between the NEMMCO March 08 report and the 1 July update

(Full Article)


Electricity blackouts, high prices, NEMMCO direction ahead for Victoria in summer 2009/10 in the low rainfall scenario if drought extends

One large unnamed Victorian generator faced a water crisis if dame levels stayed low. NEMMCO's 1 July drought update, which contained data not published in other NEMMCO forecasts - said"

(Full Article)


Snowy Hydro may suspend operations: declare force majeure, if Eucumbene and Jindabyne storages fall to catastrophic lows

The graph above shows Snowy Hydro generation over last 90 days to 11 August 2008, and reduced use of Tumut units. On 6 August Moody's withdrew insured ratings on Snowy Hydro's MTNs and Baa1 underlying senior unsecured ratings on all of Snowy Hydro's MTNs “for business reasons”. This suggests a major risk event for Snowy Hydro, not yet released to the market. The affected notes include $277 million of senior unsecured MTNs due in 2010 and $ 223 million of senior unsecured MTNs due in 2013.

(Full Article)